In 2024 Polling is Stupid: The Antiquated Techniques are Inaccurate and Therefore Misleading
Op-ed by TheWiseOldFart
I used to follow the polls on the important races religiously;
primarily “Real Clear Politics.” However, after the 2016 election, when
virtually every legitimate poll projected a landslide for Hillary, and you know
the rest, Today, I ignore them.
The more you read, the more information you possess.
However, you also possess a great deal of misinformation. The key is sorting
out facts from a plethora of baseless conspiracy theories. Sometimes I discard
everything, and read seemingly unrelated articles featuring the statements,
remarks, and questions of average Americans. I occasionally find a recurring
theme.
Remember, it is not the people involved in the Stock Market,
the fake television journalists, or the politicians involved in campaigns who
decide who wins elections; it is the average man and woman who select our
president, members of the senate, members of the House, and state and local
officials.
THE MOOD OF THE PEOPLE
Over the last eight years, the majority of all Americans
felt ignored, and similar to pawns in a game of chess. Politicians tell us we
are important, when the truth is revealed, they only care about our votes.
I supported Kamala Harris in 2019. I felt that our country
was in need of a new face. I dreaded the thought of watching two old, white men
challenge each other for the future of our nation, a future neither of them has
any chance of seeing.
However, I enthusiastically voted for Joe Biden. The idea of
Trump receiving another four years to complete his plans to destroy my beloved
country were and are unforgivable.
Late in 2023, when the American people learned that it was
highly probable that the 2024 election would be a repeat of 2020, with the same
two old men who were four years older, facing each other in another
presidential election, the “air went out of our sails.” That ugly emotion of
apathy began to spread across the land.
Many of us were in fear because of the polls. I never
believed them because they claimed Trump was leading, and because the methods for
conducting the polls and the sampling percentages were never revealed. However,
I continued to fear the only man the right-wing could support for the last
three elections.
THE BEST PRESIDENT SINCE CLINTON
I admit to underestimating the work ethic of President
Biden. He has been one of the most effective presidents in modern history. His
accomplishments, most importantly the resurgence of our economy, far surpass
every president since Bill Clinton.
Only Biden and Obama addressed the issues facing our nation
today. Republicans continue to prove they have no interest in serving the
average man and woman.
Polls fail to address issues which cannot be measured by
statistics. The only statistic that matters is voter turnout. When the percentage
of voters is high, Democrats win. When the turnout is low, the worst of the
worst, calling themselves “Republicans,” creep in from the back door.
My fear about 2024, when it appeared that it would be Trump
vs Biden, was that voters would refrain from filling out their ballots by mail,
or going to the polls. The polls cannot measure words like “excitement,” and “enthusiasm.”
This is what is happening today.
Multiple large groups have come forward to endorse Kamala
Harris. Hundreds of millions of dollars were donated to her campaign in two
weeks. Crowds are raucous and reveal something not seen since 2016.
POLLS ARE STUPID
Polls sell advertising on newspapers and television. They
are good for little else.
I am making a prediction today, based on the mood of the
public, and the disparity between the candidate’s qualifications. Kamala Harris
will easily become the first woman President of the United States on November
5, 2024.
One week later, the old, tiresome buffoon will begin to
become nothing more than a bad memory of a huge, year’s long nightmare.
A month later, infighting within the fake Republican Party,
will end the façade that the once Grand Old Party exists.
Six months later, America will begin to heal from the
mistake known as Donald John Trump.
My country will be saved.
Op-ed by James Turnage
My novels can be found on Amazon’s Kindle
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